Turkish and Israeli Talks - Recent Developments

by InAntalya Thu Dec 9th, 2010 at 05:31:17 AM EST

Turkish and Israeli representatives held two days of talks - on Sunday and Monday - in Geneva to discuss a resolution to the Turkish-Israeli diplomatic crisis. There has been a lot of coverage and speculation about this in Turkish and world media this week.

One of the most interesting things I have noticed is that there has been a complete lack of any mention that the IDF commandos were `just defending themselves' when they shot and killed nine people and wounded dozens more on the Mavi Marmara during the IDF's attack and seizure of the Gaza Freedom Flotilla.

The reports I have read and heard state that the talks are not about whether Israel would apologize and pay compensation but about how it would.

This is a summary of what I have read and heard in the past two days.

frontpaged with minor edit - Nomad


In these talks, according to an Israeli diplomatic source, "above all [Israeli PM Netanyahu] is determined to see that IDF soldiers and officers will not be open to lawsuits and arrests around the world."

The U.S. has proposed a formula where the Israeli government would apologize not to the Turkish government but to the families of those killed by IDF commandos during the attack and seizure.

According to an Israeli official, the Israel government is searching for wording to include in any statement it made that would state that Israel "did not act in malice" or "wantonly" when the IDF commandos attacked and seized the Gaza Freedom Flotilla.

According to Turkish officials, Israel has agreed to pay compensation to the families of those who were killed and damages to those who were wounded, and Israel has also offered to very formally express its `regrets' to Turkey and the Turkish people about what happened because the Israeli government feels that this would be acceptable to the Israeli people.  

Turkish PM Erdogan has made several statements that the Turkish government is willing to improve ties with Israel but the government also maintains its position that Israel needs to officially apologize to the Turkish government, pay compensation, immediately submit its report to the U.N. Panel of Inquiry, and lift the embargoes on Gaza.

The families of those killed on the Mavi Marmara have all stated that they are not interested in an Israeli apology or compensation. They insist that they want those responsible for the deaths of their family members be brought to justice.

The family members have also stated that if Israel were to pay compensation it would have to be `a punishingly large amount which Israel would feel the pain of paying' and it would be used to provide humanitarian aid to Gaza. The families also stated that it would be most appropriate for this aid, which would be bought with money paid by Israel as compensation to the families, to be delivered to Gaza by a flotilla.

---

The Jerusalem Post reports that:

Sources close to Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman, meanwhile, said that an apology to Turkey would be no less than a "surrender to terrorism."

"Israel needs to ask for a Turkish apology, and for it to pay compensation for the aid it gave those supporting terrorists and the IHH, which countries such as Germany have called a terrorist organization."

---

UPDATE - Two new items were just posted on Turkish newspapers' websites.

Silvan Shalom, Israel's Vice Prime Minister, in a radio interview in Israel today is reported to have said that apologizing to Turkey is `unthinkable' and that the Mavi Marmara was going to Gaza in order to incite Israel and that if an apology was to be made it should be made by Ankara, and on the subject of compensation, both sides should pay it because Israel also suffered damage in the flotilla affair. He is also reported to have said that the Turkish-Israeli relationship was important and dialog between the two counties was always a positive thing.

Ron Dermer, an advisor to PM Netanyahu, in an interview with the Associated Press today is reported to have said that Turkey and Israel are working on an agreement which is `acceptable to both sides', that Tel Aviv and Ankara are in continuing contact, and that Israel has asked Turkey to send the Turkish ambassador back to Israel.

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My analysis: The Turkish people and government are willing to restore ties with Israel, but only if Israel meets certain conditions.

Also, a general election is going to be held in Turkey in about six months, and even though the CHP has been growing stronger recently, it seems right now that the AKP will probably be able to win enough seats and stay in power with a small majority. But this is by no means definite; the election could end in a coalition government's having to be formed.

Keeping this in mind it is easy to understand that PM Erdogan doesn't need to be very flexible or even actively pursue these talks because:

  • Not restoring ties with Israel will neither win nor lose the ruling AKP any votes. The current situation has been going on for 6 months and has already had any effect it might have on voters.

  • Restoring ties with Israel, without Israel clearly agreeing to the stated conditions, could easily lose the ruling AKP 5%, and possibly as much as 15%, of the vote to religious and nationalist parties.

  • Restoring ties with Israel, with Israel clearly agreeing to the stated conditions, could only win the ruling AKP from 2% to 5% of the vote.

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On a different subject -

I have heard this U.S. law being discussed concerning any legal actions which the U.S. might take against those involved in the IDF's attack on and seizure of the Gaza Freedom Flotilla - especially in regard to any IDF officers and commandos involved in it who hold both U.S. and Israeli citizenship.

Does anyone have any thoughts about it?

§ 1652. Citizens as pirates

Whoever, being a citizen of the United States, commits any murder or robbery, or any act of hostility against the United States, or against any citizen thereof, on the high seas, under color of any commission from any foreign prince, or state, or on pretense of authority from any person, is a pirate, and shall be imprisoned for life.

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Crossposted at DailyKos

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It seems, from what you say, that neither side has any vested interest in reaching a deal. After all, any deal that is not a complete vindication of one side's position will be viewed by it as a defeat, yet neither side needs, nor can afford, the compromises that will be necessary to bridge the divide.

Frankly this could drag on for years.

As for any Israeli being declared a pirate under international or US law, don't make me laugh. there is absolutely zero chance that the USA will ever allow any Israeli to be declared a pirate or an outlaw when engaged in murderous acts sanctioned by Israel against anyone, anywhere, anytime. They are, even more than US citizens, totally beyond the reach of international law.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Wed Dec 8th, 2010 at 12:31:21 PM EST
The US and Israel have the same problem of killing people around the world in ways that are contrary to international law. In this case, I can't imagine how to square the circle of all the competing requirements. There is no amount of money that is going to 'hurt' Israel, because they US Congress will probably vote to cover it and double any amount that is given to Gaza.

Netanyahu, who used to define the wacko right, looks like a staid centrist compared to the extreme wacko right - the support of which, of course, he needs to stay in power. He can't square any circle. Punishing the soldiers is impossible.

Thanks for the update on this situation InAntalya. Why is it important for Israel to normalize relations with Turkey?

Never underestimate their intelligence, always underestimate their knowledge.

Frank Delaney ~ Ireland

by siegestate (siegestate or beyondwarispeace.com) on Wed Dec 8th, 2010 at 01:44:46 PM EST
Why is it important for Israel to normalize relations with Turkey?

Maybe there is pressure from the U.S. and Europe? The recent military exercises with China may have made the U.S. aware that Turkey has other options. The recent developments described in this diary followed on Turkey sending help to Israel with the fire, and this was due to a suggestion by Germany.

by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Wed Dec 8th, 2010 at 02:04:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
... for Israel to normalize relations with Turkey?

It has been Turkey's standard position to get along with its neighbors as well as possible since Ataturk.

Additionally Turkey would really like to live in a peaceful region and there is a feeling in Turkey that now this is more possible than it has been for a very very long time.

Turkey would probably be more effective in helping bring this about if it had a good, and of course equal, relationship with Israel.

by InAntalya on Wed Dec 8th, 2010 at 03:45:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]
to be friends with everyone...

Ataturk's policy was, in part, a recognition of the weakness of Turkey's geostrategic position after the fall of the Ottoman empire. With Turkey's emergence as a major regional power, it's going to be increasingly hard to manage all the contradictions. It's a tough neighbourhood; a certain amount of tension with the other actors is inevitable.

And every time I read "Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman"... it makes my skin crawl. There is nothing dishonorable in not being friends with him... it may be necessary to wait for a less-insane Israeli government before re-establishing good relations.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Thu Dec 9th, 2010 at 06:02:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]
it may be necessary to wait for a less-insane Israeli government before re-establishing good relations.

Any reason to suspect that it will not be a very long wait?

As the Dutch said while fighting the Spanish: "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Thu Dec 9th, 2010 at 03:13:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Israel's sugar daddy is going to go away within a generation.

If foreign policy is about surviving into the next century, then Israel is going about it poorly.

- Jake

Impeach Trichet!

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Thu Dec 9th, 2010 at 04:58:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]
"Any reason to suspect that it will not be a very long wait? "

Only because it's so crazy it must calm down or implode.


Align culture with our nature.

by ormondotvos (ormond no spam lmi net no spam) on Sat Dec 11th, 2010 at 02:28:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]
InAntalya:
and there is a feeling in Turkey that now this is more possible than it has been for a very very long time.

Has there been a resolution of the Palestinian/Gaza issue I am unaware of - or does that issue matter as little in Turkey as anywhere else?

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot dotty communists) on Fri Dec 10th, 2010 at 05:24:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I didn't phrase my question properly, I guess.

I want to know why Israel gives a damn, outside of giving lip service, of course.

Never underestimate their intelligence, always underestimate their knowledge.

Frank Delaney ~ Ireland

by siegestate (siegestate or beyondwarispeace.com) on Fri Dec 10th, 2010 at 02:57:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Does Israel saying they "regret" the attack count as clearly agreeing to the stated conditions or not? Yes, we've reached the expected nitpicking on language. From Ha'aretz
Israel is expected to offer hundreds of thousands of dollars to the families of the nine Turkish activists who were killed in a deadly raid on a humanitarian aid convoy bound for the Gaza Strip last May.

Turkey and Israel are close to an agreement over the wording of an apology Ankara has demanded as the two sides move toward rebuilding ties.

[...]

Israel is refusing to use the word "apology," as it continues to insist that the actions the navy took on the flotilla were legitimate. Israel has, however, agreed to express sorrow and regret over the killing of the Turkish activists on board.

According to the report in Huriyet, Israel wants the expression of sorrow and regret to be "humanitarian" and addressed toward the victims, rather than an official apology to the Turkish government. Erdogan, for his part, is demanding that Israel apologize "to the Turkish republic."

by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Thu Dec 9th, 2010 at 06:41:45 AM EST
Does any of this language mean that Israel won't do the same again in similar circumstances?

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot dotty communists) on Fri Dec 10th, 2010 at 05:26:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Hey, call on me! I know the answer to that!

NO.

Align culture with our nature.

by ormondotvos (ormond no spam lmi net no spam) on Sat Dec 11th, 2010 at 02:35:45 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Does anyone have any thoughts about it?

It would appear that Title 18, Part 1, Chapter 81, Sec 1652, applies only to US citizens and piracy.  Section 1653 applies to aliens and states:

Whoever, being a citizen or subject of any foreign state, is found and taken on the sea making war upon the United States, or cruising against the vessels and property thereof, or of the citizens of the same, contrary to the provisions of any treaty existing between the United States and the state of which the offender is a citizen or subject, when by such treaty such acts are declared to be piracy, is a pirate, and shall be imprisoned for life.


I can swear there ain't no heaven but I pray there ain't no hell. _ Blood Sweat & Tears
by Gringo (stargazing camel at aoldotcom) on Thu Dec 9th, 2010 at 02:40:35 PM EST
It looks like some people in Israel are afraid that the talks might be going too well, so they have to try to make things harder. Ha'aretz reports
Israeli officials say the initial proposal made by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's envoy included an expression of "regret" over the incident and agreement in principle to compensate the bereaved Turkish families with one-off payouts.

In return, Israel wants the Turks to help indemnify its military against lawsuits in international forums, and to normalize ties with steps like a new exchange of ambassadors.

Davutoglu on Thursday signalled no change in his government's position, saying "the citing of (compensation) figures of the matter of regret did not come onto the agenda".

by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Fri Dec 10th, 2010 at 11:15:56 AM EST


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